Pokémon 30th Celebration Pull Rates: A Hit Every 3 Packs, SIRs at 1 in 21

In TCGplayer's count of more than 3,000 Pokémon 30th Celebration booster packs, an Illustration Rare showed up in about 1 in 5 packs and a Special Illustration Rare in about 1 in 21, according to its September 24, 2026 pull-rate study. Those 30th Celebration pull rates are far friendlier than recent sets, by TCGplayer's numbers. Below are the full rates by rarity, how a second community count compares, what is in each pack, and which cards sell for the most.

Current as of October 4, 2026. These are sampled rates from opened packs, not official odds. The Pokémon Company does not publish pull rates.

30th Celebration Pull Rates by Rarity

TCGplayer's Authentication Center opened more than 3,000 packs to prepare for the set's September 16 release. The rates per pack, with TCGplayer's 95 percent confidence range:

Double Rare (any)

• 21.02% (± 1.21%), about 1 in 5 packs
• A specific Double Rare: about 1 in 57 by our math (21.02% split across the set's 12 Double Rares). TCGplayer's table says 1 in 48

Illustration Rare (any)

• 19.72% (± 1.37%), about 1 in 5 packs
• A specific Illustration Rare: about 1 in 91

Classic Collection (any)

• 10.15% (± 1.04%), about 1 in 10 packs
• A specific Classic Collection card: about 1 in 295

Special Illustration Rare (any)

• 4.88% (± 0.74%), about 1 in 21 packs
• A specific Special Illustration Rare: about 1 in 205

Futuristic Rare (any)

• 0.83% (± 0.31%), about 1 in 120 packs
• Two cards, Mew ex and Mewtwo ex, so a specific one is about 1 in 240

RGB Mew (red, green and blue versions)

• Unknown. "In our sample, we didn't find a single copy of a card at this rarity," TCGplayer's Peter Day wrote in the September 24 study

Two notes on reading these. The "1 in X" numbers are rounded, and TCGplayer calls them much less precise than the percentages. And the specific-card rates assume every card in a rarity is printed equally. Your own packs will vary.

How 30th Celebration Compares With Other Sets

TCGplayer says most Mega Evolution Series sets pull an Illustration Rare about 1 in 9 packs and a Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 80. In 30th Celebration those rates are 1 in 5 and 1 in 21.

Put together, TCGplayer says "you'll find a hit in roughly every three packs of 30th Celebration," compared with every five packs in other Mega Evolution sets, not counting the Pikachu card in every pack. It said the set looks to be the best pack-opening experience of any Pokémon set since at least Paldean Fates.

A second, community count points the same way. Wargamer reported on September 17 that Discord user Tommy13 recorded 4,063 English packs opened on livestreams. What that count actually saw:

• Double Rare: 1 per 4 packs
• Illustration Rare: 1 per 5.2 packs
• Classic Collection: 1 per 9.8 packs
• Special Illustration Rare: 1 per 18 packs
• Futuristic Rare: 1 per 99 packs
• RGB Mew: one in 4,063 packs, too few to set a rate. Tommy13 put its plausible rate anywhere from 1 in 718 to 1 in 23,016

Illustration Rares and Classic Collection cards line up almost exactly with TCGplayer. Special Illustration Rares and Futuristic Rares came a little more often on stream, but each count holds only a few dozen Futuristic Rares, so luck can explain that gap. The real outlier is Double Rares: one in every 4 streamed packs, well above TCGplayer's 21 percent.

What Is in a 30th Celebration Pack

Each booster has five foil cards, including one of 30 Pikachu cards, plus a foil Basic Energy, per The Pokémon Company's product lineup. The set released worldwide at the same time on September 16, 2026, with over 150 cards.

Where the hits land, per TCGplayer:

• Third card: a common, an Illustration Rare or a Classic Collection card
• Fourth card: the rare slot, which can become a Double Rare, a Special Illustration Rare, a Futuristic Rare or, very rarely, an RGB Mew
• Fifth card: always a Pikachu, one of 30 tracked in our 30th Celebration Pikachu cards guide

The Classic Collection is 30 reprints of famous cards from the past three decades, with gold borders and a 30th anniversary stamp, per TCGplayer. If you want those cards without relying on pull rates, the Ultra-Premium Collection: Day & Night (November 6) includes one Classic Collection booster pack with three Classic Collection cards, per The Pokémon Company. For how this set differs from the 25th anniversary release, see our Celebrations vs 30th Celebration comparison.

The Most Valuable 30th Celebration Cards Right Now

TCGplayer Market Prices as of October 4, 2026:

• RGB Mew: the first copies sold for $3,500 to $4,000 in late September, per TCGplayer's October 2 market report. The red version's latest TCGplayer sale was $6,000.27, and the green version sits at $3,738.75, on very few sales
• Lugia, Classic Collection: $215.84, down from $372.17 at its September 24 to 26 peak
• Charizard, Classic Collection: $165.87
• Magikarp, Classic Collection: $94.89
• Mew ex, Special Illustration Rare: $93.00
• Gengar ex, Special Illustration Rare: $76.16
• Pikachu ex (Night), Special Illustration Rare: $71.74
• Mew ex, Futuristic Rare: $60.80
• Mewtwo ex, Futuristic Rare: $43.05, down from more than $120 on release weekend, per TCGplayer

Almost every top single has fallen since release as more product gets opened. Even the Classic Collection Lugia, which TCGplayer's October 2 report still had climbing, has slid from its late-September peak. New cards from this set are covered in our 30th Celebration new Illustration Rares roundup, and the 30th Celebration hub tracks every product.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the pull rates for 30th Celebration?

In TCGplayer's count of 3,000+ packs: Double Rare and Illustration Rare about 1 in 5 packs each, Classic Collection about 1 in 10, Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 21 and Futuristic Rare about 1 in 120.

Are 30th Celebration pull rates better than other sets?

Yes. TCGplayer says most Mega Evolution sets pull Illustration Rares about 1 in 9 and Special Illustration Rares about 1 in 80, against 1 in 5 and 1 in 21 here.

What is the pull rate of RGB Mew?

Unknown. TCGplayer found none in more than 3,000 packs, and a community count reported by Wargamer found one in 4,063 packs, putting the plausible rate anywhere from 1 in 718 to 1 in 23,016.

How many cards are in a 30th Celebration pack?

Five foil cards, one of them always a Pikachu, plus a foil Basic Energy.

Where to Go From Here

Whatever you pull from your own packs, the Polkastarter marketplace is another way to collect real, vaulted cards. Every Lootbox lists its contents, values, and chances before you open, and a free mystery pack comes with signup.

Details checked October 4, 2026. Pull rates are third-party samples, not official odds, and prices change daily. Nothing here is financial advice. Polkastarter is not affiliated with The Pokémon Company, TCGplayer or the other companies named.

Sources

• TCGplayer: Pokémon TCG 30th Celebration Pull Rates, by Peter Day, published September 24, 2026, accessed October 4, 2026
• Wargamer: Pokémon TCG 30th Celebration's precise pull rates and patterns mapped out by a stats nerd on day one, by Timothy Linward, published September 17, 2026, accessed October 4, 2026
• Pokémon: The Pokémon TCG 30th Celebration expansion is available now, published September 16, 2026, accessed October 4, 2026
• Pokémon: Pokémon TCG 30th Celebration product showcase, published June 30, 2026, accessed October 4, 2026
• TCGplayer: The biggest price spikes in Pokémon this week, October 2, 2026, published October 2, 2026, accessed October 4, 2026
• TCGplayer: Classic Collection Lugia product page, Market Price, accessed October 4, 2026 (other card prices from each linked product page)